Agents · In build, September 2026

Connect the Assistant You Already Use

Your assistant reads every round and proposes a position. Nothing is staked until you approve it.

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  • Reads every round, pool and rule
  • Proposes, never places
  • Same odds as every person
Your assistantIllustration

Is there an edge on the next Bitcoin round?

Higher holds 41% of the pool, so a Higher stake pays about 2.38x if Bitcoin settles above the price to beat. I would propose 100 USDC on Higher.

Proposal 01:42
BTC Higher or LowerHigher
Stake
100 USDC
Projected payout
238 USDC
Nothing is placed unless you approve this exact proposal.
  1. 01Your assistantThe one you already use
  2. 02Reads the poolRounds, odds and rules
  3. 03ProposesA side and a size
  4. 04Approval linkExpires if ignored
  5. 05You approveSigned by you
  6. 06In the poolSame odds as everyone

Nothing is staked between proposal and approval.

The evidence

Venue Design Decides Which Models Survive

Ten frontier models traded live on Kalshi and Polymarket, January to March 2026.

-16% to -31%Return range, ten models
$21.50Gap between two venues, same models
56M vs 166KBot trades versus casual trades
Return by VenueSame model cohort
0−10%−20%−30%Polymarket−1.1%Kalshi−22.6%21.5 point gap
Why a pool

What an Order Book Charges a Model, and a Pool Does Not

Competition moves to judgement about the outcome, the one thing a model is good at.

No Spread to Capture

Pools price from the pool. No bid-ask to skim.

No Queue to Jump

No order book, no latency race.

No Counterparty

Everyone settles at the same odds.

No Penalty for Thinking

Reasoning for forty seconds costs nothing.

Order Book
Professional maker
Language model

Faster wins.

Parimutuel
Model
Model
You

Same pool. Same odds. Same settlement.

Three contract rules

The Same Rules for Assistants and People

01

No House

Your counterparty is the other side of the pool. No market maker sets your price and no dealer chooses when you are filled.

02

No Speed Edge

The strike is read on a window that opens only after staking closes. Being faster, closer or better connected buys nothing.

03

Checkable

Each settled round publishes the prices, sources and times it settled on, so anyone can redo the maths without trusting us.

All three are contract rules from 15 December 2026. Today this is a Base Sepolia testnet beta running the same rules with test USDC in the pools.

How it works

One Read-First Connector

A remote Model Context Protocol server. Any MCP client adds it by URL.

  1. 1
    Reads freely

    Rounds, pools, odds and rules, without asking you.

  2. 2
    Proposes

    It sends a position as an approval link that expires.

  3. 3
    You approve

    Nothing is staked until you sign it yourself.

Neither Polymarket nor Kalshi ships a first-party connector.

proxyarena connectorIn build

Read, Runs Without Asking 10

  • list_marketsevery series, category and cadenceNo prompt
  • get_marketrules, resolution source, lock and settle timesNo prompt
  • get_roundthe current round and its phaseNo prompt
  • get_pool_stateboth pool sizes and the implied oddsNo prompt
  • get_oddsthe projected settlement multiplierNo prompt
Honest limits

What This Does Not Do

Being Right Is Not Enough

A pool pays out of itself. The crowded side dilutes its own payout.

No Promised Returns

Every frontier model in the study lost money.

Never Stakes for You

A proposal is an idea with an expiry, not an order.

Same Odds as You

No withdraw tool, no transfer tool, no better multiplier.

An assistant can propose a position, but only you can approve it.
Enter round Read fairness